FREE BOOKS

Author's List




PREV.   NEXT  
|<   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50  
51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63   64   65   66   67   68   69   70   71   72   73   74   75   >>   >|  
particular _so far as can be discovered_, and _in all probability_ it will always continue to be such. _High Probability_, amounting, it may be, at times, to an assurance of certainty, is the strongest proof which this Method can, from its very nature, produce. To establish a Principle or Law for a _certainty beyond any possibility of doubt_ by the Inductive Method, it is essential that we should know that we are in possession of every Fact in the universe which has any relation to the given Principle, or rather that we should know that there are _no_ Facts in the universe at variance with it. To _know_ this, it is necessary to be in possession of _all_ the Facts in the universe, since the Inductive Method has no mode of discovering when it has sifted out of the immense mass of Facts all those which exist in connection with any given Law. As we shall _never_ be in possession of all the Facts of the universe, we shall never be able, by the Inductive Method, to possess _certainty_ in respect to the future operations of Nature; and thus we discover the insufficiency of this Method as a perfect guide to the acquisition of knowledge. The famed Inductive Method, like the Anticipative or Hypothetical, furnishes, in truth, only an _assumption_ as a starting point for reasoning in the endeavor to establish other Facts than those already known. The verification of the Law or Principle assumed is, indeed, in the former Method, as complete as it can be, in the nature of the case, while in the latter it is not; but we have just seen that the strongest proof which Observation, Classification, and Induction can give is that of High Probability, on the _supposition_ that a certain number of Facts from which a Law is derived include substantially all that the whole range of Phenomena belonging to the given sphere would represent. Any possible application of the Inductive Method is, therefore, only a nearer or more remote approximation to an Exactitude and Certainty which the Method itself can never _fully_ attain. The Inductive Method being thus defective as a Scientific guide, in the most important requirement of Science, it is unnecessary to enter into an exposition of minor defects, not the least of which is the _slowness_ with which conclusions must necessarily be arrived at, when they are reached only by the gradual accumulation of Facts and the derivation of a Law from these. A Method or a Process which lacks that which is the
PREV.   NEXT  
|<   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50  
51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61   62   63   64   65   66   67   68   69   70   71   72   73   74   75   >>   >|  



Top keywords:
Method
 

Inductive

 

universe

 

Principle

 

certainty

 

possession

 
Probability
 

nature

 

strongest

 

establish


Phenomena

 

belonging

 

substantially

 

remote

 
sphere
 

represent

 

application

 

include

 

nearer

 

Observation


Classification
 

approximation

 

number

 
supposition
 
Induction
 

derived

 

attain

 

necessarily

 

arrived

 

conclusions


slowness

 

reached

 

gradual

 

Process

 

accumulation

 

derivation

 

defects

 
defective
 

Scientific

 

Certainty


important

 

exposition

 
unnecessary
 
requirement
 

Science

 

Exactitude

 
verification
 

continue

 
sifted
 

discovering