FREE BOOKS

Author's List




PREV.   NEXT  
|<   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110   111   112  
113   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124   125   126   127   128   129   130   131   132   133   134   135   136   137   >>   >|  
e with quotations for actual cotton of specified qualities made by their brokers. "Options" and "straddles." We now return to exchange "future" transactions regarded as a genus. In addition to "futures" proper there are "options" and "straddles." Options are single ("puts" or "calls") or double (that is, alternative "puts" or "calls"). The "put" is a right to sell cotton within some specified time in the future at a price fixed in the present, which need not, of course, be exercised. The "call" is similar, but relates to buying. It will be evident that the "put" is a hedge against prices falling, and the "call" a hedge against their rising. The basis of "options" is the same as that of ordinary "futures," i.e. middling American cotton of "no staple," &c. Whether the purchaser of an option gains or loses depends upon the price that he has paid in relation to the gain, if any, that he makes out of his power. The price of options of course varies: that of double options is always highest, but they are little used. A "straddle" is a speculation on the difference between the prices of nearer and more distant futures, which varies from time to time, or on the difference between the prices of different kinds of cotton. An example will make the nature of the straddle clear. Suppose a dealer buys April-May "futures" at 4d. a lb. and sells the same quantity of May-June "futures" at 4-10/64d. a lb. Then, whether prices rise or fall as a whole, he gains if the difference between the two prices becomes less than 10/64d., but if it becomes more, he loses. On the other hand, had the dealer bought May-June at 4-10/64d. and sold April-May at 4d. he would have gained in the event of the difference increasing, and lost in the event of its decreasing. Measures of steadiness in prices. A question which has met with a good deal of attention is whether the speculation, which has been encouraged by the various arrangements made for facilitating operations in "futures," has steadied or unsteadied prices. Before we are prepared to answer this question we must be furnished with a precise conception of what is meant by "steadiness" in prices. It is sometimes assumed that this is measured perfectly by the standard deviation,[6] which is obtained by taking the squares of the differences between the average and the individual prices, summing them and extracting the square root. But obviously the information given by the standard devia
PREV.   NEXT  
|<   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110   111   112  
113   114   115   116   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124   125   126   127   128   129   130   131   132   133   134   135   136   137   >>   >|  



Top keywords:

prices

 

futures

 

difference

 
cotton
 
options
 

dealer

 

varies

 

question

 
straddle
 

steadiness


speculation
 

future

 

straddles

 

standard

 

double

 

Options

 

square

 

summing

 
gained
 

bought


extracting

 

information

 

individual

 

decreasing

 

prepared

 

answer

 

deviation

 

Before

 

operations

 

steadied


unsteadied

 

perfectly

 
measured
 

precise

 

conception

 

furnished

 

assumed

 
facilitating
 
arrangements
 

Measures


differences

 
squares
 

average

 

taking

 
obtained
 
encouraged
 

attention

 

increasing

 

highest

 

exercised