predictions and related information, and to plan for the
utilization of the capability for earthquake prediction

3. Resources

=Finding=: While leadership and management are essential ingredients to
achieve an adequate earthquake preparedness posture, _the availability
of adequate staffing and resources at all levels of government
determines the efficacy of agency programs and initiatives_. In many
agencies, earthquake preparedness has been accorded a low priority in
their programs. This is a manifestation of a more general problem of
minimal agency resource allocation to emergency preparedness. The
results of the actions that have been indicated will be limited unless
additional resources are made available.

=Issue=: Additional resources should be provided as
necessary to accelerate the earthquake hazard mitigation
and preparedness activities under the National Earthquake
Hazards Reduction Program.

=Action=: FEMA has reassessed its priorities and is
allocating resources to increase the staffing, funding,
and management attention and direction for earthquake
hazards mitigation, including preparations for a
catastrophic earthquake in California. This includes an
increase of staff resources in FEMA Region IX for
Federal, State, and local coordination of planning,
preparedness, and mitigation. Resource needs that cannot
be fully met by the reassessment and reallocation for
Fiscal Year 1981 should be identified and justified along
with needs for Fiscal Year 1982 in the course of the
budget submissions for Fiscal Year 1982. To facilitate an
adequate and balanced response by other Federal agencies,
FEMA will provide timely guidance to other agencies on
specific priorities for this effort in relation to other
major preparedness goals. The Office of Management and
Budget and the Office of Science and Technology Policy
will work together to develop a cross-agency ranking of
budgetary resources for earthquake preparedness for
Fiscal Year 1982.

CHAPTER II

GEOLOGIC EARTHQUAKE SCENARIOS

A. MAJOR EVENTS

For purposes of assessing the consequences of a major California
earthquake, scenarios for seven large earthquakes were developed. The
scenarios depict expectable earthquakes that could severely impact on